Dear Readers,
Saturday, it must be time for another Kentucky
Derby prep race. After the Sham I needed to sharpen my pencil, and to that end
I’ve spent the morning looking over the entries for today’s (GIII) Lecomte
Stakes at the Fair Grounds in Louisiana.
1.
International
Star
– No doubt a nice colt, but Eagle beat him pretty handily in the Kentucky
Jockey Club Stakes in November. Unless the time off between races has helped
him, I don’t see him beating Eagle in this race.
2.
Tiznow
R J –
Yikes, did you see how far this guy won by in his last start? Admittedly it
looked like a bumper car race behind him. Nonetheless he’s lightly raced and
appears to have found his footing. Can’t ignore him.
3.
Four
Leaf Chief – I admit I’m scratching my head over this one.
He wins a stakes race, impressively, and then comes back in an
allowance-optional claiming and runs like a wild March hare. Strange.
4.
War
Story – Two starts, two wins, and both times he looked to be
running green. No reason he shouldn’t improve with racing.
5.
Hero of
Humor – If you can’t say anything nice… This horse was 87-1 in his
last out and he beat one horse. He would be a surprise.
6.
Savoy
Stomp – With only three starts, and one of those a dismal run on
an off track, I can’t get excited about this horse. Granted he has big time
connections and he cost a lot of money…
7.
Runhappy
–
I like the name. Even though he ran very green, it was an impressive first
start. Why not run him in this race?
8.
Killingit – Form
on this colt was looking good and then there was that last race as a
prohibitive favorite.
9.
Dekabrist – This
horse fills lots of races. I don’t think he belongs in here, but then stranger
things have happened.
10.
Another
Lemon Drop – I can’t make a case for this horse not running in this
race, considering some of the others, but at the same time I can’t make a case
for him winning it either.
11.
Eagle – This colt was impressive in
his first out going five furlongs, and probably needed the second race where he
finished second. In the Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes, he had to find running
room late and when he did he was impressive.
I have to go with the probable favorite in this race, and
that looks like it will be Eagle. In his last race he looked like the real
deal.
I also like War Story to feel brave off his two starts and his two wins.
He’s got to be getting smarter with running.
Pretty much the same sentiments when
it comes to Runhappy.
And then there’s Tiznow R J with that impressive win in
his last start.
This is going to be a fun race to watch.
Take care,
Shelley Riley
Check out my latest book; For
Want of a Horse – A Short Story Collection
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